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The page is a publisher page, so no archive disclosure is needed. The final post is presented as a forthcoming installment, not as a reported outcome. Related-post listings on the page are not relied upon.","excerpt":"July 16, 2026"},{"dimension":"support","status":"pass","explanation":"Each claim is supported by the post's text. This covers internal reallocation instead of issuance, the bank-level effect with a null consolidated effect, the three-step sequence, and no added aggregate risk. The spillover claim is accurately attributed as the authors' preview of the final post. Source-grounding does not independently verify the findings.","excerpt":"At the consolidated BHC level, the corresponding estimate is essentially zero. 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