Allison Shrivastava, Cory Stahle and Laura Ullrich argue in Indeed Hiring Lab that job postings are eroding

Allison Shrivastava, Cory Stahle and Laura Ullrich argue in Indeed Hiring Lab that job postings are eroding

Indeed Hiring Lab published this analysis on November 6, 2025. Allison Shrivastava, Cory Stahle and Laura Ullrich report that job postings continued to fall as the government shutdown continued, with declines across almost every sector tracked by Indeed. They say posted wage growth also slowed, while inflation exceeded wage growth, reducing consumers’ purchasing power. The authors caution that a return to pre-pandemic posting levels would not, by itself, mean a sharp labor-market deterioration; they contrast it with the post-pandemic boom. They also point to regional differences: postings were lower in places affected by layoffs and the shutdown, while some less-affected states remained above early-2020 levels. The authors say artificial intelligence is not the sole cause of the slowdown, though some routine professional tasks are increasingly being automated. With delayed national jobs reports and federal data difficult to replace, they present the Indeed Job Postings Index and Indeed Wage Tracker as timely perspectives, not substitutes for official data. They say they will continue analyzing labor-market trends, including potential effects on federal employees; the extent of those effects remains unknown.

Publication: 3be71916-caa3-3342-e4e3-5f805e5c4aef

attribution — pass: The reading correctly credits Allison Shrivastava, Cory Stahle and Laura Ullrich, writing for Indeed Hiring Lab, as the source's byline shows. Their findings and cautions are kept as the authors' assertions rather than presented as established fact.

By Allison Shrivastava & Cory Stahle & Laura Ullrich

summary — pass: The summary faithfully conveys the posting decline, slowing posted wages, inflation outpacing wages, the caveat about pre-pandemic levels, the regional differences and the hedged AI point. It also keeps the role of real-time indicators. The phrase 'not substitutes for official data' fairly reflects the source's statement that federal data is difficult to replace. Terms are readable without specialist background, and the question follows from the authors' stated plan.

Federal data — particularly on prices and inflation — is difficult to replace.

date — pass: November 6, 2025 matches the source dateline and originalPublished, at day precision. The reading presents no later events or hindsight framing. The carousel of related stories is not relied on. The page is a publisher page, not an archive copy, so no archive disclosure is required.

November 6, 2025

support — pass: Each claim is directly supported by the quoted source text. The AI claim keeps the source's hedge. The question about federal employees follows from the authors' stated plan to keep analyzing potential effects, without assuming any outcome. No unsupported benefits or costs are implied.

As the shutdown continues, we will continue to analyze trends in job openings, wages, and job seeker behavior, including potential effects on federal employees.

media — pass: No media is selected, and no verified media candidates were supplied, so there is no media identity or relevance issue.