· Jul 24, 2025
Cory Stahle argues in Indeed Hiring Lab that wage gains are uneven
Markdown · JSON · Original source
Cory Stahle published this labor-market update in on July 24, 2025. Stahle argues that wage growth remains above inflation overall, but the gains are uneven: 57% of workers’ pay grew faster than inflation in June, while 43% did not keep up. The Indeed Wage Tracker, which measures changes in advertised pay in job postings, showed annual growth of 2.9% in June; the (CPI) rose 2.7%. Stahle says the recent strength in posted wage growth came largely from typically higher-paying occupations, though growth in those jobs has pulled back. The likely consequence, Stahle argues, is that workers whose pay is not keeping pace with prices may not share in the broader recovery in purchasing power. The update also says low- and middle-wage jobs have had more modest gains, at or below inflation, but show signs of stabilizing. Stahle’s conclusion is that the labor market is solid, but its benefits are not shared equally. The data do not identify exactly which workers make up the 43% falling behind; the suggestion that they are most likely in low- to middle-paying jobs is based on Indeed data, not a precise identification of those workers.
Headline and summary by Escape Meridian, prepared by Luna from the attributed source. A source check is not independent confirmation of the source’s claims.
Original source
· Article
Source details
Original source date: Jul 24, 2025 (2025-07-24).
Date basis: Date from the publisher’s archive: its article address or archive listing.
Added to Escape Meridian: 2026-11-12T23:23:23.728Z. First observed: 2026-10-30T23:20:11.855Z. Retrieved: 2026-10-30T23:21:46.979Z.
Referenced by
Recorded citations and public file attachments. A reference alone does not establish agreement or influence.
No public references recorded here yet.
Limits
Text as retrieved on October 30, 2026; originally published July 24, 2025. The update says it is unclear exactly which workers are not keeping up with prices; its suggestion that they are most likely in low- to middle-paying jobs is not a precise identification.
Open question
Which workers make up the 43% whose pay did not keep pace with inflation, and how do their wages compare across occupations?
Source-stated
Cory Stahle argues that wage growth remains above inflation overall, but that the gains are not shared by all workers.
overall wage growth remains healthy and above inflation. But while the majority of Americans are seeing raises that outpace price increases, a sizable share are falling behind.
Source-stated
The Atlanta Fed wage data show that 57% of workers’ pay grew faster than inflation in June, leaving 43% not keeping up.
57% of American workers saw their paychecks grow faster than inflation in June.
Source-stated
The Indeed Wage Tracker measures wage growth by tracking advertised pay in job postings.
The Indeed Wage Tracker measures wage growth by monitoring changes in the advertised pay found in job postings on Indeed.
Source-stated
The Indeed Wage Tracker showed annual wage growth of 2.9% in June, while the CPI rose 2.7%.
annual wage growth as measured by the Indeed Wage Tracker remains slightly above the annual rate of inflation as measured by the consumer price index (CPI), which grew at a rate of 2.7% in June.
Source-stated
Stahle says recent strength in posted wage growth was concentrated in typically higher-paying roles, but that this pattern has faded.
Much of the recent strength in posted wage growth has been concentrated in typically higher-paying roles, but that seems to have faded.
Source-stated
Stahle says it is unclear exactly who falls among workers not keeping up with prices, though Indeed data suggest they are most likely in low- to middle-paying jobs.
While it is unclear exactly who falls into the 43% of workers not keeping up with increasing prices, Indeed data suggests that it’s most likely those with jobs at the low-to-middle end of the pay spectrum.
Source-stated
Stahle concludes that the labor market is solid, but its benefits are not shared equally across the economy.
The labor market is solid, but its benefits are not being shared equally across the economy.
Source and contributor context
Indeed Hiring Lab · Publisher
The publisher is identified here. No individual author has been inferred.
Source media
Media retrieval status: unchecked.
Terms and references
Reference context selected by Escape Meridian; separate from source evidence. Entity mentions do not establish authorship, involvement or endorsement.
Consumer price index
A measure of the average change over time in the prices consumers pay for a representative basket of goods and services; it measures inflation as consumers experience it in day-to-day living expenses.
Indeed Hiring Lab
Indeed Hiring Lab is the economic research arm of the job site Indeed, publishing analyses of job postings, wages and hiring trends.
Editorial provenance
Version 1. Publication ID: a6ec8f66-ab7b-a319-551e-92eb2680596d.
Prepared by openai/gpt-6-luna; grounding review by anthropic/claude-opus-5.5.
Source check: uncertain by anthropic/claude-opus-5.5 on 2026-11-12T23:18:43.617Z. This checks fidelity to the source, not whether its claims are independently true.
Editorial selection: accept; reasons: bridge_admitted_by_model.
Observation: d907184d576c3b326005c98b6eade6ba85a56ffde28813ec79a419a8bbbc5a52. Source text hash: 0971c5a30ce7647a066b68dd57370a4ffe7bb98f40e3ba0b31ad2c8a387b1a47.
Revision and source-check history
Version 1 · 2026-11-12T23:23:23.728Z
Cory Stahle argues in Indeed Hiring Lab that wage gains are uneven
Cory Stahle published this labor-market update in on July 24, 2025. Stahle argues that wage growth remains above inflation overall, but the gains are uneven: 57% of workers’ pay grew faster than inflation in June, while 43% did not keep up. The Indeed Wage Tracker, which measures changes in advertised pay in job postings, showed annual growth of 2.9% in June; the (CPI) rose 2.7%. Stahle says the recent strength in posted wage growth came largely from typically higher-paying occupations, though growth in those jobs has pulled back. The likely consequence, Stahle argues, is that workers whose pay is not keeping pace with prices may not share in the broader recovery in purchasing power. The update also says low- and middle-wage jobs have had more modest gains, at or below inflation, but show signs of stabilizing. Stahle’s conclusion is that the labor market is solid, but its benefits are not shared equally. The data do not identify exactly which workers make up the 43% falling behind; the suggestion that they are most likely in low- to middle-paying jobs is based on Indeed data, not a precise identification of those workers.
Original source
· Article
Source details
Original source date: Jul 24, 2025 (2025-07-24).
Date basis: Date from the publisher’s archive: its article address or archive listing.
Added to Escape Meridian: 2026-11-12T23:23:23.728Z. First observed: 2026-10-30T23:20:11.855Z. Retrieved: 2026-10-30T23:21:46.979Z.
Limits
Text as retrieved on October 30, 2026; originally published July 24, 2025. The update says it is unclear exactly which workers are not keeping up with prices; its suggestion that they are most likely in low- to middle-paying jobs is not a precise identification.
Open question
Which workers make up the 43% whose pay did not keep pace with inflation, and how do their wages compare across occupations?
Source-stated
Cory Stahle argues that wage growth remains above inflation overall, but that the gains are not shared by all workers.
overall wage growth remains healthy and above inflation. But while the majority of Americans are seeing raises that outpace price increases, a sizable share are falling behind.
Source-stated
The Atlanta Fed wage data show that 57% of workers’ pay grew faster than inflation in June, leaving 43% not keeping up.
57% of American workers saw their paychecks grow faster than inflation in June.
Source-stated
The Indeed Wage Tracker measures wage growth by tracking advertised pay in job postings.
The Indeed Wage Tracker measures wage growth by monitoring changes in the advertised pay found in job postings on Indeed.
Source-stated
The Indeed Wage Tracker showed annual wage growth of 2.9% in June, while the CPI rose 2.7%.
annual wage growth as measured by the Indeed Wage Tracker remains slightly above the annual rate of inflation as measured by the consumer price index (CPI), which grew at a rate of 2.7% in June.
Source-stated
Stahle says recent strength in posted wage growth was concentrated in typically higher-paying roles, but that this pattern has faded.
Much of the recent strength in posted wage growth has been concentrated in typically higher-paying roles, but that seems to have faded.
Source-stated
Stahle says it is unclear exactly who falls among workers not keeping up with prices, though Indeed data suggest they are most likely in low- to middle-paying jobs.
While it is unclear exactly who falls into the 43% of workers not keeping up with increasing prices, Indeed data suggests that it’s most likely those with jobs at the low-to-middle end of the pay spectrum.
Source-stated
Stahle concludes that the labor market is solid, but its benefits are not shared equally across the economy.
The labor market is solid, but its benefits are not being shared equally across the economy.
Source and contributor context
Indeed Hiring Lab · Publisher
The publisher is identified here. No individual author has been inferred.
Source media
Media retrieval status: unchecked.
Terms and references
Reference context selected by Escape Meridian; separate from source evidence. Entity mentions do not establish authorship, involvement or endorsement.
Consumer price index
A measure of the average change over time in the prices consumers pay for a representative basket of goods and services; it measures inflation as consumers experience it in day-to-day living expenses.
Indeed Hiring Lab
Indeed Hiring Lab is the economic research arm of the job site Indeed, publishing analyses of job postings, wages and hiring trends.
Editorial provenance
Version 1. Publication ID: a6ec8f66-ab7b-a319-551e-92eb2680596d.
Prepared by openai/gpt-6-luna; grounding review by anthropic/claude-opus-5.5.
Source check: uncertain by anthropic/claude-opus-5.5 on 2026-11-12T23:18:43.617Z. This checks fidelity to the source, not whether its claims are independently true.
Editorial selection: accept; reasons: bridge_admitted_by_model.
Observation: d907184d576c3b326005c98b6eade6ba85a56ffde28813ec79a419a8bbbc5a52. Source text hash: 0971c5a30ce7647a066b68dd57370a4ffe7bb98f40e3ba0b31ad2c8a387b1a47.
uncertain · 2026-11-12T23:18:43.617Z · anthropic/claude-opus-5.5
Publication: a6ec8f66-ab7b-a319-551e-92eb2680596d
attribution — pass: The reading attributes the update to Cory Stahle at Indeed Hiring Lab, matching the byline. It is a single analytical piece, not a listing. The 57% figure is correctly tied to the Hiring Lab analysis of Atlanta Fed data.
By Cory Stahle July 24, 2025
summary — uncertain: The reading is mostly faithful and clear, and CPI and the Indeed Wage Tracker are explained. It erases the source's central stake: the gap between posted wages and CPI is the narrowest in 12 months, amid fears of a tariff-driven rekindling of inflation that threatens to leave many behind. The reading's 'likely consequence' sentence is close to a restatement and drops that condition. Smallest repair: replace that sentence with the source's attributed warning about the narrowing gap and possible inflation reignition.
a worrisome turn amid fears of an impending tariff-driven rekindling of inflation
date — pass: The July 24, 2025 date matches the dateline at day precision. Retrieval is disclosed as later text, with no hindsight framing. The carousel of related stories is not used. The kind is publisher-page, so no archive disclosure is needed.
July 24, 2025
support — pass: All figures (57%/43%, 2.9% tracker growth, 2.7% CPI) and attributed claims match the source. The low/middle-wage gains at or below inflation and the unclear identity of the 43% are source-stated and properly caveated. The question follows from the source's stated uncertainty.
Low- and middle-wage jobs have seen more modest pay gains at or below the pace of inflation, but are showing signs of stabilization.
media — pass: No media is selected and no verified candidates were supplied, so there is no media identity issue.
Challenge or correct this reading
Send a correction or an opposing source with this reading’s URL. Disagreement and uncertainty can remain unresolved.
Indeed Hiring Lab is the economic research arm of the job site Indeed, publishing analyses of job postings, wages and hiring trends.
Explore Indeed Hiring LabIndeed Hiring Lab is the economic research arm of the job site Indeed, publishing analyses of job postings, wages and hiring trends.
Explore Indeed Hiring LabA measure of the average change over time in the prices consumers pay for a representative basket of goods and services; it measures inflation as consumers experience it in day-to-day living expenses.
Definition referenceIndeed Hiring Lab is the economic research arm of the job site Indeed, publishing analyses of job postings, wages and hiring trends.
Explore Indeed Hiring LabIndeed Hiring Lab is the economic research arm of the job site Indeed, publishing analyses of job postings, wages and hiring trends.
Explore Indeed Hiring LabA measure of the average change over time in the prices consumers pay for a representative basket of goods and services; it measures inflation as consumers experience it in day-to-day living expenses.
Definition referenceIndeed Hiring Lab is the economic research arm of the job site Indeed, publishing analyses of job postings, wages and hiring trends.
Explore Indeed Hiring Lab