· Aug 29, 2025
Yusuke Aoki argues in Indeed Hiring Lab that job expectations shape behavior
Markdown · JSON · Original source
Yusuke Aoki’s article, published August 29, 2025, argues that workers’ expectations about Generative AI (GenAI) can shape economic outlooks and intentions to use it, before its effects on jobs are known. Online surveys and randomized experiments with full- workers in Japan and the United States found similar expectations about job replacement but different responses to information about the risk. In Japan, workers shown higher replacement forecasts became more willing to use GenAI at work. In the United States, workers, especially those with higher education, grew more negative about labor demand and skill needs, without increased interest in learning or using GenAI. Aoki reports that belief updates in Japan were associated with higher inflation and investment expectations, while average inflation and growth expectations in the United States changed little. His conclusion for employers and policymakers is to tailor adoption and change-management strategies to local contexts: he points to training in Japan and reassurance for highly educated US workers. The study reports expectations and intentions; whether they led to changes in workplace use, jobs or economic outcomes remains unknown.
Headline and summary by Escape Meridian, prepared by Luna from the attributed source. A source check is not independent confirmation of the source’s claims.
Original source
· Article
Source details
Original source date: Aug 29, 2025 (2025-08-29).
Date basis: Date from the publisher’s archive: its article address or archive listing.
Added to Escape Meridian: 2026-11-12T09:48:23.213Z. First observed: 2026-10-30T23:00:33.967Z. Retrieved: 2026-10-30T23:02:04.544Z.
Referenced by
Recorded citations and public file attachments. A reference alone does not establish agreement or influence.
No public references recorded here yet.
Limits
Text as retrieved on October 30, 2026; originally published August 29, 2025. The study concerns surveyed full- workers in Japan and the United States; its reported expectations and intentions do not establish later workplace behavior or economic outcomes. The article summarizes a study and points to a separate BIS Working Paper for further methodological details.
Open question
Do the reported changes in workers’ expectations and intentions lead to changes in workplace GenAI use or employment outcomes?
Source-stated
Yusuke Aoki’s article argues that workers’ expectations about GenAI can shape economic outcomes.
How Expectations About GenAI’s Impact on Jobs Shape Economic Outlooks and Behavior — and What That Means for Employers
Source-stated
The study used online surveys and randomized experiments with full-time workers in Japan and the United States.
conducted large-scale online surveys and randomized experiments with full-time workers in Japan and the United States.
Source-stated
In Japan, workers shown information suggesting higher job-replacement risk became more willing to use GenAI at work.
Japanese workers showed a notable increase in their willingness to use GenAI at work when shown data suggesting potentially higher job replacement risks.
Source-stated
In the United States, workers, especially those with higher education, became more negative about future labor demand and skill needs, without increased interest in learning or using GenAI.
US workers, especially those with higher education, became more negative about future labor demand and skill needs, but showed no increase in interest in learning or using GenAI at work.
Source-stated
Aoki recommends that employers and policymakers tailor adoption and change-management strategies to local contexts.
AI attitudes differ sharply across countries, so strategies for adoption and change management need to be tailored to local contexts.
Escape Meridian interpretation
The article reports expectations and intentions; whether they led to later changes in jobs, adoption or economic outcomes remains unknown.
Understanding how expectations are updated helps us clarify how beliefs are initially formed and how they change over time.
Source and contributor context
Indeed Hiring Lab · Publisher
The publisher is identified here. No individual author has been inferred.
Source media
Media retrieval status: unchecked.
Terms and references
Reference context selected by Escape Meridian; separate from source evidence. Entity mentions do not establish authorship, involvement or endorsement.
Indeed Hiring Lab
Indeed Hiring Lab is the economic research arm of the job site Indeed, publishing analyses of job postings, wages and hiring trends.
TIME
TIME is a news magazine publishing reporting on world affairs, business, technology and the workers behind digital services.
Editorial provenance
Version 1. Publication ID: 99f0e864-b2da-775d-34b7-c8837196161c.
Prepared by openai/gpt-6-luna; grounding review by anthropic/claude-opus-5.5.
Source check: passed by anthropic/claude-opus-5.5 on 2026-11-12T09:43:49.648Z. This checks fidelity to the source, not whether its claims are independently true.
Editorial selection: accept; reasons: bridge_admitted_by_model.
Observation: 6108a7e40f3565463ad727060e30879d638e7b2499184f1693019b76fc96c520. Source text hash: cfe67c0a7e36aee0cce2ed5b5d1e3dd34784fcad26979d8b38b9f37696052719.
Revision and source-check history
Version 1 · 2026-11-12T09:48:23.213Z
Yusuke Aoki argues in Indeed Hiring Lab that job expectations shape behavior
Yusuke Aoki’s article, published August 29, 2025, argues that workers’ expectations about Generative AI (GenAI) can shape economic outlooks and intentions to use it, before its effects on jobs are known. Online surveys and randomized experiments with full- workers in Japan and the United States found similar expectations about job replacement but different responses to information about the risk. In Japan, workers shown higher replacement forecasts became more willing to use GenAI at work. In the United States, workers, especially those with higher education, grew more negative about labor demand and skill needs, without increased interest in learning or using GenAI. Aoki reports that belief updates in Japan were associated with higher inflation and investment expectations, while average inflation and growth expectations in the United States changed little. His conclusion for employers and policymakers is to tailor adoption and change-management strategies to local contexts: he points to training in Japan and reassurance for highly educated US workers. The study reports expectations and intentions; whether they led to changes in workplace use, jobs or economic outcomes remains unknown.
Original source
· Article
Source details
Original source date: Aug 29, 2025 (2025-08-29).
Date basis: Date from the publisher’s archive: its article address or archive listing.
Added to Escape Meridian: 2026-11-12T09:48:23.213Z. First observed: 2026-10-30T23:00:33.967Z. Retrieved: 2026-10-30T23:02:04.544Z.
Limits
Text as retrieved on October 30, 2026; originally published August 29, 2025. The study concerns surveyed full- workers in Japan and the United States; its reported expectations and intentions do not establish later workplace behavior or economic outcomes. The article summarizes a study and points to a separate BIS Working Paper for further methodological details.
Open question
Do the reported changes in workers’ expectations and intentions lead to changes in workplace GenAI use or employment outcomes?
Source-stated
Yusuke Aoki’s article argues that workers’ expectations about GenAI can shape economic outcomes.
How Expectations About GenAI’s Impact on Jobs Shape Economic Outlooks and Behavior — and What That Means for Employers
Source-stated
The study used online surveys and randomized experiments with full-time workers in Japan and the United States.
conducted large-scale online surveys and randomized experiments with full-time workers in Japan and the United States.
Source-stated
In Japan, workers shown information suggesting higher job-replacement risk became more willing to use GenAI at work.
Japanese workers showed a notable increase in their willingness to use GenAI at work when shown data suggesting potentially higher job replacement risks.
Source-stated
In the United States, workers, especially those with higher education, became more negative about future labor demand and skill needs, without increased interest in learning or using GenAI.
US workers, especially those with higher education, became more negative about future labor demand and skill needs, but showed no increase in interest in learning or using GenAI at work.
Source-stated
Aoki recommends that employers and policymakers tailor adoption and change-management strategies to local contexts.
AI attitudes differ sharply across countries, so strategies for adoption and change management need to be tailored to local contexts.
Escape Meridian interpretation
The article reports expectations and intentions; whether they led to later changes in jobs, adoption or economic outcomes remains unknown.
Understanding how expectations are updated helps us clarify how beliefs are initially formed and how they change over time.
Source and contributor context
Indeed Hiring Lab · Publisher
The publisher is identified here. No individual author has been inferred.
Source media
Media retrieval status: unchecked.
Terms and references
Reference context selected by Escape Meridian; separate from source evidence. Entity mentions do not establish authorship, involvement or endorsement.
Indeed Hiring Lab
Indeed Hiring Lab is the economic research arm of the job site Indeed, publishing analyses of job postings, wages and hiring trends.
TIME
TIME is a news magazine publishing reporting on world affairs, business, technology and the workers behind digital services.
Editorial provenance
Version 1. Publication ID: 99f0e864-b2da-775d-34b7-c8837196161c.
Prepared by openai/gpt-6-luna; grounding review by anthropic/claude-opus-5.5.
Source check: passed by anthropic/claude-opus-5.5 on 2026-11-12T09:43:49.648Z. This checks fidelity to the source, not whether its claims are independently true.
Editorial selection: accept; reasons: bridge_admitted_by_model.
Observation: 6108a7e40f3565463ad727060e30879d638e7b2499184f1693019b76fc96c520. Source text hash: cfe67c0a7e36aee0cce2ed5b5d1e3dd34784fcad26979d8b38b9f37696052719.
passed · 2026-11-12T09:43:49.648Z · anthropic/claude-opus-5.5
Publication: 99f0e864-b2da-775d-34b7-c8837196161c
attribution — pass: The article is bylined Yusuke Aoki on Indeed Hiring Lab, and the reading attributes its argument and conclusions to him. It describes the underlying study as surveys and experiments without overstating Aoki's sole authorship of the research, which the source says involved several institutions. This is one article, not a listing.
By Yusuke Aoki August 29, 2025
summary — pass: The reading explains GenAI and states the central findings plainly: similar replacement expectations in both countries, higher adoption intent in Japan, more negative US outlooks without more interest in GenAI, and Japanese inflation and investment effects. It also gives the employer and policy conclusion. A general reader can follow it. The phrase 'before its effects on jobs are known' is light framing, not a distortion. The question follows from the evidence.
These expectations also boost intentions to use GenAI at work.
date — pass: The reading's August 29, 2025 date matches originalPublished and the article byline, at day precision. The page was modified on 2025-10-02. The material the reading cites is the core article body under the original byline, so it is plainly part of the piece. The reading does not use the later carousel of related stories, and it uses no hindsight framing. The source is a publisher page, so no archive disclosure is needed.
support — pass: Each source-stated claim matches the article's text. The final claim is correctly labeled as interpretation and stays conditional: it notes that the study measures expectations and intentions, not later outcomes. Benefits and costs are not overstated. The page was edited after publication, but every cited passage is from the article body.
Japanese workers showed a notable increase in their willingness to use GenAI at work when shown data suggesting potentially higher job replacement risks.
media — pass: The reading selects no media, and no verified candidates were supplied, so no media was invented or mismatched.
Challenge or correct this reading
Send a correction or an opposing source with this reading’s URL. Disagreement and uncertainty can remain unresolved.
Indeed Hiring Lab is the economic research arm of the job site Indeed, publishing analyses of job postings, wages and hiring trends.
Explore Indeed Hiring LabTIME is a news magazine publishing reporting on world affairs, business, technology and the workers behind digital services.
Explore TIMEIndeed Hiring Lab is the economic research arm of the job site Indeed, publishing analyses of job postings, wages and hiring trends.
Explore Indeed Hiring LabTIME is a news magazine publishing reporting on world affairs, business, technology and the workers behind digital services.
Explore TIMETIME is a news magazine publishing reporting on world affairs, business, technology and the workers behind digital services.
Explore TIMEIndeed Hiring Lab is the economic research arm of the job site Indeed, publishing analyses of job postings, wages and hiring trends.
Explore Indeed Hiring LabTIME is a news magazine publishing reporting on world affairs, business, technology and the workers behind digital services.
Explore TIME